Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ostseestadion, Rostock
The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for SV Wehen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen?
Hansa Rostock starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,978 vs 1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hansa Rostock have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SV Wehen have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 0-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Preußen Münster(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hansa Rostock win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 SV Wehen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | SV Wehen 0-1 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Hansa Rostock 3-0 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Hansa Rostock 1-4 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Aug 10, 2024 | SV Wehen 1-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Hansa Rostock 3-1 SV Wehen | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 29, 2023 | SV Wehen 1-0 Hansa Rostock | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| SV Wehen | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hansa Rostock sit 6th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and SV Wehen sit 20th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 20 | SV Wehen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen?
- The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for SV Wehen.
- Where and when is Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen played?
- Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ostseestadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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