Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Carl-Benz-Stadion, Mannheim
The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Waldhof Mannheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl?
Verl starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waldhof Mannheim have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Verl have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Waldhof Mannheim win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Verl win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Verl 5-2 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Waldhof Mannheim 2-2 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Waldhof Mannheim 2-2 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Verl 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Verl 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Waldhof Mannheim 1-2 Verl | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Verl vs Waldhof Mannheim on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Waldhof Mannheim score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waldhof Mannheim | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Verl | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Waldhof Mannheim sit 7th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Verl sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Waldhof Mannheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl?
- The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Waldhof Mannheim.
- Where and when is Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl played?
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Carl-Benz-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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