Match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen

Rot-Weiß EssenFC Viktoria Köln

The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FC Viktoria Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,955) and FC Viktoria Köln (1,899).

Rot-Weiß Essen win43 %
Draw23 %
FC Viktoria Köln win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; FC Viktoria Köln have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
FC Viktoria Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Stuttgart II(away)3-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg(home)2-53. Liga
Aug 2, 2026Kaiserslautern II(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Standard Liege(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Viktoria Köln win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026FC Viktoria Köln 1-2 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Oct 18, 2025Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
Mar 12, 2025FC Viktoria Köln 1-0 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Oct 5, 2024Rot-Weiß Essen 2-1 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
Jan 23, 2024Rot-Weiß Essen 3-1 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
Aug 23, 2023FC Viktoria Köln 0-0 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga

Last archived meeting: FC Viktoria Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Viktoria Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15
FC Viktoria Köln2.01.739/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC Viktoria Köln sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10FC Viktoria Köln2101563
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln?
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FC Viktoria Köln.
Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln played?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rot-Weiß Essen and FC Viktoria Köln

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