Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FC Viktoria Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,955) and FC Viktoria Köln (1,899).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; FC Viktoria Köln have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stuttgart II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Viktoria Köln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln 1-2 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FC Viktoria Köln 1-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Rot-Weiß Essen 2-1 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Rot-Weiß Essen 3-1 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Aug 23, 2023 | FC Viktoria Köln 0-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Viktoria Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Viktoria Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Viktoria Köln | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC Viktoria Köln sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Viktoria Köln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FC Viktoria Köln.
- Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln played?
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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