Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)AKON ARENA, Würzburg
The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Würzburger Kickers starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (2,071 vs 1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Würzburger Kickers have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Wehen(home) | 4-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(away) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Würzburger Kickers win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2021 | Würzburger Kickers 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Würzburger Kickers | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 6, 2017 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 Würzburger Kickers | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Würzburger Kickers 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 17, 2014 | Würzburger Kickers 3-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf | DFB Pokal |
Last archived meeting: Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Jan 29, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Würzburger Kickers | 2.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Würzburger Kickers sit 3rd in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Würzburger Kickers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
- The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
- Where and when is Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
- Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at AKON ARENA, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04vsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Nov 28, 2026Preußen MünstervsVerl
- Nov 28, 2026SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsMSV Duisburg
- Nov 28, 2026SV WehenvsSV Meppen
- Nov 28, 2026Hansa RostockvsHavelse
- Nov 28, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsFortuna Köln
- Nov 28, 2026Rot-Weiß EssenvsHoffenheim II
- Nov 28, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsAlemannia Aachen