Match

Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)AKON ARENA, Würzburg

Würzburger KickersFortuna Düsseldorf

The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Würzburger Kickers starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (2,071 vs 1,910).

Würzburger Kickers win62 %
Draw20 %
Fortuna Düsseldorf win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Würzburger Kickers have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Würzburger Kickers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 20261. FC Köln(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026SV Wehen(home)4-03. Liga
Aug 8, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)2-23. Liga
Jul 30, 2026FSV Frankfurt(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 1, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-1Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs
Fortuna Düsseldorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Freiburg(home)1-5DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)0-23. Liga
Aug 7, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-23. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Lask Linz(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Würzburger Kickers win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 29, 2021Würzburger Kickers 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga
Sep 26, 2020Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Würzburger Kickers2. Bundesliga
May 6, 2017Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 Würzburger Kickers2. Bundesliga
Dec 4, 2016Würzburger Kickers 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga
Aug 17, 2014Würzburger Kickers 3-2 Fortuna DüsseldorfDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Jan 29, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Würzburger Kickers2.90.8510/1512/15
Fortuna Düsseldorf2.41.537/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Würzburger Kickers sit 3rd in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Würzburger Kickers2110624
18Fortuna Düsseldorf2002140

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where and when is Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at AKON ARENA, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Würzburger Kickers and Fortuna Düsseldorf

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