FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt
The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for SSV Jahn Regensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925) and SSV Jahn Regensburg (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; SSV Jahn Regensburg have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 SSV Jahn Regensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 0-3 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-1 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 1-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 8, 2023 | FC Ingolstadt 04 2-4 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
| Apr 8, 2022 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 1-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 31, 2021 | FC Ingolstadt 04 0-3 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Jahn Regensburg score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and SSV Jahn Regensburg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
- The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for SSV Jahn Regensburg.
- Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Jahn Regensburg played?
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SSV Jahn Regensburg is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Würzburger KickersvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Nov 28, 2026Preußen MünstervsVerl
- Nov 28, 2026SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsMSV Duisburg
- Nov 28, 2026SV WehenvsSV Meppen
- Nov 28, 2026Hansa RostockvsHavelse
- Nov 28, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsFortuna Köln
- Nov 28, 2026Rot-Weiß EssenvsHoffenheim II
- Nov 28, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsAlemannia Aachen