Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II played?

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt

FC Ingolstadt 04

Hoffenheim II

The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Hoffenheim II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,918) and Hoffenheim II (1,880).

FC Ingolstadt 04 win57 %

Draw21 %

Hoffenheim II win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hoffenheim II have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ingolstadt 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Preußen Münster(away)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(home)	2-2	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Palermo(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Hoffenheim II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	2-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Hansa Rostock(home)	2-3	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Freiburg II(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hoffenheim II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Hoffenheim II 0-3 FC Ingolstadt 04	3. Liga
Nov 29, 2025	FC Ingolstadt 04 3-2 Hoffenheim II	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Hoffenheim II vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hoffenheim II score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Ingolstadt 04	1.6	1.5	4	8/15	8/15
Hoffenheim II	1.5	1.9	1	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Hoffenheim II sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Hoffenheim II	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?: The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Hoffenheim II.
Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II played?: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.