Match

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach

SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachVerl

The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,055 vs 1,953).

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win56 %
Draw22 %
Verl win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Verl have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SV Meppen(away)0-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Fortuna Köln(home)1-03. Liga
Jul 25, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)2-7Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026VfR Aalen(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Verl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Hamburger SV(home)0-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)2-43. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)1-43. Liga
Aug 1, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026Bremer SV(home)6-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2.01.375/157/15
Verl1.51.746/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Verl sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2101123
19Verl2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl?
The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Verl.
Where and when is SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl played?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Verl

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