Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Havelse played?

MSV Duisburg vs Havelse is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

MSV Duisburg vs Havelse: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg

MSV Duisburg

Havelse

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Havelse. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,827).

MSV Duisburg win73 %

Draw16 %

Havelse win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Havelse have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MSV Duisburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Elversberg(home)	1-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Verl(away)	4-2	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Meppen(home)	3-0	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Rotterdam(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Havelse
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stuttgart II(home)	2-3	3. Liga
Jul 31, 2026	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Hannover 96 II(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 MSV Duisburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Havelse win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	MSV Duisburg 1-1 Havelse	3. Liga
Sep 21, 2025	Havelse 1-1 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
Jan 14, 2022	Havelse 0-1 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2021	MSV Duisburg 3-0 Havelse	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs Havelse on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
MSV Duisburg	1.8	1.3	4	10/15	9/15
Havelse	1.5	2.3	2	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Havelse sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
17	Havelse	2	0	0	2	2	4	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?: The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Havelse.
Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Havelse played?: MSV Duisburg vs Havelse is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.