SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Jahnstadion Regensburg, Regensburg
The Footlab model makes SSV Jahn Regensburg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate SSV Jahn Regensburg (1,907) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Jahn Regensburg have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SSV Jahn Regensburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 0-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 19, 2022 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 0-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 26, 2022 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-0 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 27, 2022 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SSV Jahn Regensburg on Mar 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
SSV Jahn Regensburg score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSV Jahn Regensburg sit 8th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
- The Footlab model makes SSV Jahn Regensburg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
- Where and when is SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Jahnstadion Regensburg, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 15, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04vsHoffenheim II
- Sep 15, 2026MSV DuisburgvsHavelse
- Sep 15, 2026Würzburger KickersvsAlemannia Aachen
- Sep 15, 2026Preußen MünstervsFC Saarbrücken
- Sep 15, 2026SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsVerl
- Sep 15, 2026SV MeppenvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Sep 15, 2026Hansa RostockvsStuttgart II
- Sep 15, 2026Fortuna KölnvsSV Wehen