Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for SV Wehen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (2,039 vs 1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SV Wehen have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 0-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Preußen Münster(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fortuna Köln win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SV Wehen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2019 | SV Wehen 3-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Fortuna Köln 0-7 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Fortuna Köln 1-0 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Aug 26, 2017 | SV Wehen 1-1 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Fortuna Köln 0-0 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2016 | SV Wehen 3-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SV Wehen vs Fortuna Köln on Apr 13, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| SV Wehen | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and SV Wehen sit 20th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 20 | SV Wehen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for SV Wehen.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen played?
- Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 15, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Sep 15, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04vsHoffenheim II
- Sep 15, 2026MSV DuisburgvsHavelse
- Sep 15, 2026Würzburger KickersvsAlemannia Aachen
- Sep 15, 2026Preußen MünstervsFC Saarbrücken
- Sep 15, 2026SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsVerl
- Sep 15, 2026SV MeppenvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Sep 15, 2026Hansa RostockvsStuttgart II