Match

Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln

Fortuna KölnSV Wehen

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for SV Wehen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen?

Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (2,039 vs 1,863).

Fortuna Köln win63 %
Draw20 %
SV Wehen win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SV Wehen have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Alemannia Aachen(home)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)0-13. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Kickers Offenbach(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VVV Venlo(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
SV Wehen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)0-4DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Würzburger Kickers(away)0-43. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Preußen Münster(home)1-33. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Bayern München(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fortuna Köln win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SV Wehen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 13, 2019SV Wehen 3-0 Fortuna Köln3. Liga
Nov 4, 2018Fortuna Köln 0-7 SV Wehen3. Liga
Feb 17, 2018Fortuna Köln 1-0 SV Wehen3. Liga
Aug 26, 2017SV Wehen 1-1 Fortuna Köln3. Liga
Feb 11, 2017Fortuna Köln 0-0 SV Wehen3. Liga
Aug 9, 2016SV Wehen 3-0 Fortuna Köln3. Liga

Last archived meeting: SV Wehen vs Fortuna Köln on Apr 13, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortuna Köln1.71.148/159/15
SV Wehen1.12.328/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and SV Wehen sit 20th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Fortuna Köln2011121
20SV Wehen2002170

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen?
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for SV Wehen.
Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen played?
Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fortuna Köln and SV Wehen

Ready to know everything about football?