FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt
The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for SV Wehen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,924) and SV Wehen (1,860).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; SV Wehen have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 0-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Preußen Münster(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 SV Wehen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | SV Wehen 2-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | FC Ingolstadt 04 0-0 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | FC Ingolstadt 04 2-3 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Dec 14, 2024 | SV Wehen 2-5 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SV Wehen 4-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 27, 2022 | FC Ingolstadt 04 2-3 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SV Wehen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| SV Wehen | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and SV Wehen sit 20th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 20 | SV Wehen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen?
- The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for SV Wehen.
- Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen played?
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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