Match

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt

FC Ingolstadt 04SV Wehen

The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for SV Wehen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,924) and SV Wehen (1,860).

FC Ingolstadt 04 win59 %
Draw22 %
SV Wehen win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; SV Wehen have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ingolstadt 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Preußen Münster(away)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)2-23. Liga
Aug 1, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Palermo(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
SV Wehen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)0-4DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Würzburger Kickers(away)0-43. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Preußen Münster(home)1-33. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Bayern München(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 SV Wehen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026SV Wehen 2-1 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Sep 20, 2025FC Ingolstadt 04 0-0 SV Wehen3. Liga
May 10, 2025FC Ingolstadt 04 2-3 SV Wehen3. Liga
Dec 14, 2024SV Wehen 2-5 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Mar 4, 2023SV Wehen 4-1 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Aug 27, 2022FC Ingolstadt 04 2-3 SV Wehen3. Liga

Last archived meeting: SV Wehen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Ingolstadt 041.61.548/158/15
SV Wehen1.12.328/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and SV Wehen sit 20th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15FC Ingolstadt 042020332
20SV Wehen2002170

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen?
The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for SV Wehen.
Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen played?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Ingolstadt 04 and SV Wehen

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