Match

Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Preußen-Stadion, Münster

Preußen MünsterRot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Preußen Münster (1,881) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,976).

Preußen Münster win35 %
Draw24 %
Rot-Weiß Essen win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preußen Münster have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Preußen Münster
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SV Wehen(away)3-13. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Southampton(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Preußen Münster win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2024Preußen Münster 2-1 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Aug 27, 2023Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Preußen Münster3. Liga
Feb 20, 2022Rot-Weiß Essen 1-1 Preußen MünsterRegionalliga - West
Sep 14, 2021Preußen Münster 2-3 Rot-Weiß EssenRegionalliga - West
Mar 13, 2021Preußen Münster 1-0 Rot-Weiß EssenRegionalliga - West
Oct 17, 2020Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Preußen MünsterRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen on Jan 28, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Preußen Münster1.22.1310/1511/15
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Preußen Münster sit 5th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Preußen Münster2110424
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Preußen Münster.
Where and when is Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Preußen-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Preußen Münster and Rot-Weiß Essen

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