Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Preußen-Stadion, Münster
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Preußen Münster (1,881) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preußen Münster have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Preußen Münster win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | Preußen Münster 2-1 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-1 Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 14, 2021 | Preußen Münster 2-3 Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Preußen Münster 1-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen on Jan 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preußen Münster sit 5th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Preußen Münster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
- The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Preußen Münster.
- Where and when is Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
- Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Preußen-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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