SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Waldhof Mannheim. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (2,055 vs 1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Waldhof Mannheim have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Meppen(away) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 2-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Waldhof Mannheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2020 | Waldhof Mannheim 3-2 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| Nov 9, 2019 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0-3 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Waldhof Mannheim vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach on Jun 20, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Waldhof Mannheim score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Waldhof Mannheim sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Waldhof Mannheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim?
- The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Waldhof Mannheim.
- Where and when is SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim played?
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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