Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken played?

Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln

Fortuna Köln

FC Saarbrücken

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for FC Saarbrücken. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken?

Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,912).

Fortuna Köln win58 %

Draw22 %

FC Saarbrücken win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FC Saarbrücken have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(home)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	0-1	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VVV Venlo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Borussia M'gladbach II(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

FC Saarbrücken
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)	1-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	5-2	3. Liga
Jul 26, 2026	VfR Aalen(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Augsburg(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fortuna Köln win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FC Saarbrücken win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 7, 2023	FC Saarbrücken 2-1 Fortuna Köln	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln on Jan 7, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fortuna Köln	1.7	1.1	4	8/15	9/15
FC Saarbrücken	1.5	1.3	5	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Saarbrücken	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
16	Fortuna Köln	2	0	1	1	1	2	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken?: The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for FC Saarbrücken.
Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken played?: Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.