FC Krasnodar vs HJK Helsinki: result 5-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 20, 2015 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar
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What was the result of FC Krasnodar vs HJK Helsinki?
FC Krasnodar won 5-1 on August 20, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 8′J. OjalaFC Krasnodar (o.g.)
- 9′P. MamaevFC Krasnodar (pen.)
- 18′Ousman JallowHJK Helsinki
- 57′F. SmolovFC Krasnodar (pen.)
- 61′Francisco Wanderson do Carmo CarneiroFC Krasnodar
- 63′Y. GazinskiyFC Krasnodar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, FC Krasnodar have 7 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; HJK Helsinki have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2015 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2015 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Dec 11, 2014 | Everton(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 27, 2014 | Lille(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 6, 2014 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2015 | Mariehamn(away) | 1-5 | Suomen Cup |
| Aug 12, 2015 | Lahti(home) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 5, 2015 | FC Astana(away) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 29, 2015 | FC Astana(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 25, 2015 | Kooteepee(home) | 2-1 | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Krasnodar score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 14; HJK Helsinki score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 2.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/14 | 8/14 |
| HJK Helsinki | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy