Jong AZ vs FC OSS: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
The Footlab model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for FC OSS. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong AZ vs FC OSS?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Jong AZ (1,699) and FC OSS (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong AZ have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; FC OSS have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Quick Boys(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 4-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jong AZ win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC OSS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC OSS 0-3 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Jong AZ 0-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 2, 2025 | FC OSS 2-1 Jong AZ | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Jong AZ 1-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2024 | FC OSS 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 26, 2024 | FC OSS 1-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Jong AZ score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC OSS score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| FC OSS | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong AZ sit 13th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and FC OSS sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | FC OSS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 | FC OSS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong AZ vs FC OSS?
- The Footlab model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for FC OSS.
- Where and when is Jong AZ vs FC OSS played?
- Jong AZ vs FC OSS is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Trainingscomplex, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.