Match

FC Porto B vs Amarante: prediction and stats

Segunda LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, Pedroso, Vila Nova de Gaia

FC Porto BAmarante

The Footlab AI model makes Amarante the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FC Porto B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Amarante wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Porto B vs Amarante?

Amarante starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (2,063 vs 1,957).

27%28%45%
FC Porto B winDrawAmarante win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Porto B vs Amarante

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Porto B

4-2-3-1
  1. 89Mateus Mide
  1. 66Bernardo Lima
  2. 56Kauê
  3. 92João Pedro Moreira Teixeira
  4. 58T. Silva
  5. 70Eirik Granaas
  1. 93Tiago Ferreira
  2. 64Luís Gomes
  3. 55Y. Pereira
  4. 76Dinis Rodrigues
  1. 50J. Afonso

Amarante

3-4-3
  1. 5Joao Ricardo
  2. 88Rúben Alves
  3. 10M. Costa
  1. 26A. Zangre
  2. 8Tokinho
  3. 78Simão Silva
  4. 6Rodrigo Guedes
  1. 2Gonçalo Cunha
  2. 3Feliciano Mendes
  3. 28Diogo Costa
  1. 65Didi

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:02 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto B have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Amarante have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Porto B
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Leixoes(away)2-1Segunda Liga
Sep 14, 2026Vizela(home)2-2Segunda Liga
Sep 5, 2026Tondela(away)0-3Segunda Liga
Aug 30, 2026Penafiel(home)0-3Segunda Liga
Aug 24, 2026Feirense(away)1-0Segunda Liga
Amarante
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Portimonense(home)1-2Segunda Liga
Sep 20, 2026Ponte da Barca(away)2-0Taça de Portugal
Sep 13, 2026União de Leiria(home)2-2Segunda Liga
Sep 6, 2026Leixoes(away)1-3Segunda Liga
Aug 30, 2026Benfica B(home)1-0Segunda Liga

How many goals should we expect?

FC Porto B score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Amarante score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Porto B1.01.846/159/15
Amarante1.31.258/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Porto B sit 13th in Segunda Liga (7 points from 7 matches) and Amarante sit 16th (5 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13FC Porto B72146147
16Amarante71246105

A question about FC Porto B vs Amarante?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Porto B vs Amarante?
The Footlab AI model makes Amarante the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FC Porto B.
Where and when is FC Porto B vs Amarante played?
FC Porto B vs Amarante is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, in the Segunda Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Porto B and Amarante

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