Felgueiras 1932 vs Tondela: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras
The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Felgueiras 1932. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tondela wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs Tondela?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Felgueiras 1932 (1,964) and Tondela (2,020).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Felgueiras 1932 vs Tondela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Felgueiras 1932
4-4-2- 19Lucas da Costa Duarte
- 9Tiago Rafael Fernandes Leiite
- 77Francisco França
- 10Michel Costa
- 20Rodrigo Santos Ribeiro
- 6Henrique Martins
- 3João Pinto
- 15Armando Lopes
- 23Afonso de Freitas
- 70B. Ouacharaf
- 14Mateus Pasinato
Tondela
4-2-3-1- 19Tómané
- 20Hugo Félix
- 7Cascavel
- 37Sarará
- 8Hélder Tavares
- 97Cícero
- 12Zé Ricardo
- 4Christian Marques
- 15Carraça
- 6Farru
- 28Araujo Carlos
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Felgueiras 1932 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Tondela have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Naval 1893(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Felgueiras 1932 win, 1 draw, 2 Tondela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tondela 3-2 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Tondela 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Felgueiras 1932 0-1 Tondela | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Felgueiras 1932 score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Tondela | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Felgueiras 1932 sit 17th in Segunda Liga (7 points from 9 matches) and Tondela sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tondela | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 17 | Felgueiras 1932 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Felgueiras 1932 vs Tondela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Felgueiras 1932 vs Tondela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Felgueiras 1932.
- Where and when is Felgueiras 1932 vs Tondela played?
- Felgueiras 1932 vs Tondela is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.