Amarante vs Academica: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Amarante, Amarante
The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Amarante. The most likely score is 1-1. If Academica wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amarante vs Academica?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Amarante (2,063) and Academica (2,076).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amarante vs Academica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amarante
3-4-3- 5Joao Ricardo
- 88Rúben Alves
- 10M. Costa
- 26A. Zangre
- 8Tokinho
- 78Simão Silva
- 6Rodrigo Guedes
- 2Gonçalo Cunha
- 3Feliciano Mendes
- 28Diogo Costa
- 65Didi
Academica
4-3-3- 19Afonso Rodrigues
- 8K. Zohi
- 10I. Faure
- 20J. Sinisterra
- 25L. Pierre
- 92A. Coundoul
- 5Leandro Silva
- 3Ricardo Teixeira
- 2Xavi
- 22Hélder Lopes
- 12Victor Braga
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amarante have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Academica have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Real(away) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Amarante win, 2 draws, 0 Academica wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Academica 1-1 Amarante | Liga 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Amarante 1-1 Academica | Liga 3 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Amarante 1-0 Academica | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Academica vs Amarante on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Amarante score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Academica score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarante | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Academica | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amarante sit 16th in Segunda Liga (5 points from 7 matches) and Academica sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Amarante vs Academica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amarante vs Academica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Amarante.
- Where and when is Amarante vs Academica played?
- Amarante vs Academica is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Amarante, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.