Match

Sporting CP B vs Leixoes: prediction and stats

Segunda LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, Alcochete

Sporting CP BLeixoes

The Footlab model makes Leixoes the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting CP B vs Leixoes?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Sporting CP B (1,879) and Leixoes (1,916).

Sporting CP B win31 %
Draw28 %
Leixoes win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP B have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Leixoes have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting CP B
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Penafiel(away)0-2Segunda Liga
Aug 15, 2026Chaves(home)1-0Segunda Liga
Aug 9, 2026AVS(away)1-0Segunda Liga
Aug 1, 2026Alverca(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Academico Viseu(away)0-0Segunda Liga
Leixoes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026União de Leiria(home)2-4Segunda Liga
Aug 16, 2026Tondela(home)1-0Segunda Liga
Aug 10, 2026Benfica B(away)0-1Segunda Liga
Aug 1, 2026Casa Pia(home)6-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Vizela(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sporting CP B win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Leixoes win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Sporting CP B 0-1 LeixoesSegunda Liga
Oct 5, 2025Leixoes 0-4 Sporting CP BSegunda Liga
Mar 18, 2018Leixoes 1-1 Sporting CP BSegunda Liga
Oct 29, 2017Sporting CP B 1-1 LeixoesSegunda Liga
Mar 19, 2017Leixoes 1-2 Sporting CP BSegunda Liga
Oct 23, 2016Sporting CP B 2-1 LeixoesSegunda Liga

Last archived meeting: Sporting CP B vs Leixoes on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting CP B score 0.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leixoes score 2.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sporting CP B0.41.033/153/15
Leixoes2.51.4410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting CP B sit 6th in Segunda Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Leixoes sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Sporting CP B3201226
10Leixoes3102353

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting CP B vs Leixoes?
The Footlab model makes Leixoes the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sporting CP B.
Where and when is Sporting CP B vs Leixoes played?
Sporting CP B vs Leixoes is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, in the Segunda Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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