FC Porto vs Paris Saint Germain: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 2Kick-off on October 3, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Full time
What was the result of FC Porto vs Paris Saint Germain?
FC Porto won 1-0 on October 3, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 83′J. RodríguezFC Porto
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Beira-Mar(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Olhanense(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Guimaraes(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Sochaux(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Bastia(away) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Toulouse(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Lille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto score 2.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 2.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 2.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 2.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 14 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy