GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
The Footlab AI model makes FC Porto the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for GIL Vicente. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Porto wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
FC Porto is a heavy favourite: 2,461 Elo points against 2,133, a 328-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for GIL Vicente vs FC Porto
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1- 23Héctor Hernández
- 20Gil Pinto Martins
- 77Murilo
- 12A. Lausen
- 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
- 10Santi García
- 39Jonathan Buatu
- 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 47Ricardo Esgaio
- 45David Moreira
- 30Lucão
FC Porto
4-3-3- 11Pepê Aquino
- 7William
- 19André Silva
- 10Gabri Veiga
- 13P. Rosario
- 8Victor Mow Froholdt
- 20Alberto Baio
- 4J. Kiwior
- 5J. Bednarek
- 74Francisco Moura
- 99Diogo Costa
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GIL Vicente have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; FC Porto have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 GIL Vicente win, 1 draw, 4 FC Porto wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | FC Porto 3-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2025 | GIL Vicente 0-2 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 19, 2025 | GIL Vicente 3-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 10, 2024 | FC Porto 3-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 25, 2024 | GIL Vicente 1-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | FC Porto 2-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Porto vs GIL Vicente on Jan 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GIL Vicente score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Porto score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Porto | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GIL Vicente sit 9th in Primeira Liga (8 points from 6 matches) and FC Porto sit 1st (21 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
| 9 | GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
A question about GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Porto the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for GIL Vicente.
- Where and when is GIL Vicente vs FC Porto played?
- GIL Vicente vs FC Porto is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.