Greifswalder FC vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald
The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Greifswalder FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greifswalder FC vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Greifswalder FC (1,907) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena (2,004).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; FC Carl Zeiss Jena have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Greifswalder FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 3-3 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jan 31, 2025 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 1-3 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 3-0 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2023 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Greifswalder FC on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Greifswalder FC score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Carl Zeiss Jena score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greifswalder FC | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greifswalder FC sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
- The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Greifswalder FC.
- Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena played?
- Greifswalder FC vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsSV Babelsberg 03
- Nov 22, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsAltglienicke
- Nov 22, 2026BFC PreussenvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Nov 22, 2026BFC DynamovsHallescher FC
- Nov 22, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsRSV Eintracht
- Nov 22, 2026LuckenwaldevsChemnitzer FC
- Nov 22, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsHertha BSC II
- Nov 22, 2026Magdeburg IIvsFSV Zwickau