Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC?
Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Luckenwalde win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chemnitzer FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 3-3 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Luckenwalde 2-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 2-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Luckenwalde 0-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Luckenwalde 1-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Chemnitzer FC 1-2 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC played?
- Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsSV Babelsberg 03
- Nov 22, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsAltglienicke
- Nov 22, 2026BFC PreussenvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Nov 22, 2026BFC DynamovsHallescher FC
- Nov 22, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsRSV Eintracht
- Nov 22, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsHertha BSC II
- Nov 22, 2026Greifswalder FCvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Nov 22, 2026Magdeburg IIvsFSV Zwickau