BFC Preussen vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Preußenstadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BFC Preussen vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate BFC Preussen (1,853) and BSG Chemie Leipzig (1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Preussen have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; BSG Chemie Leipzig have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 BFC Preussen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-2 BFC Preussen | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 26, 2025 | BFC Preussen 2-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Preussen on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Preussen | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFC Preussen sit 17th in Regionalliga - Nordost (2 points from 5 matches) and BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | BFC Preussen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BFC Preussen vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is BFC Preussen vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?
- BFC Preussen vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Preußenstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsSV Babelsberg 03
- Nov 22, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsAltglienicke
- Nov 22, 2026BFC DynamovsHallescher FC
- Nov 22, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsRSV Eintracht
- Nov 22, 2026LuckenwaldevsChemnitzer FC
- Nov 22, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsHertha BSC II
- Nov 22, 2026Greifswalder FCvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Nov 22, 2026Magdeburg IIvsFSV Zwickau