Tasmania Berlin vs Hertha BSC II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Hertha BSC II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs Hertha BSC II?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Tasmania Berlin (1,818) and Hertha BSC II (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Hertha BSC II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hertha BSC II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2024 | Tasmania Berlin 0-7 Hertha BSC II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Hertha BSC II 3-1 Tasmania Berlin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 17, 2021 | Hertha BSC II 5-3 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Tasmania Berlin 1-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs Hertha BSC II on Jun 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC II score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Hertha BSC II | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and Hertha BSC II sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs Hertha BSC II?
- The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Hertha BSC II.
- Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs Hertha BSC II played?
- Tasmania Berlin vs Hertha BSC II is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsSV Babelsberg 03
- Nov 22, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsAltglienicke
- Nov 22, 2026BFC PreussenvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Nov 22, 2026BFC DynamovsHallescher FC
- Nov 22, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsRSV Eintracht
- Nov 22, 2026LuckenwaldevsChemnitzer FC
- Nov 22, 2026Greifswalder FCvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Nov 22, 2026Magdeburg IIvsFSV Zwickau