FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 21Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for FC Carl Zeiss Jena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena (2,004).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; FC Carl Zeiss Jena have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Carl Zeiss Jena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 3-1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 8, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 3-1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 4, 2024 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 5-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Carl Zeiss Jena score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for FC Carl Zeiss Jena.
- Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena played?
- FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027FSV ZwickauvsBFC Dynamo
- Feb 14, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsHallescher FC
- Feb 14, 2027BFC PreussenvsErzgebirge Aue
- Feb 14, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsMagdeburg II
- Feb 14, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsRSV Eintracht
- Feb 14, 2027AltglienickevsGreifswalder FC
- Feb 14, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Feb 14, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsLuckenwalde