Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs Luckenwalde played?

Tasmania Berlin vs Luckenwalde is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tasmania Berlin vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 21Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin

Tasmania Berlin

Luckenwalde

The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs Luckenwalde?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Tasmania Berlin (1,818) and Luckenwalde (1,784).

Tasmania Berlin win47 %

Draw25 %

Luckenwalde win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tasmania Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(home)	2-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	0-6	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-5	Regionalliga - Nordost

Luckenwalde
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home)	0-5	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026	FSV Zwickau(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	RSV Eintracht(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Luckenwalde win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Luckenwalde 1-2 Tasmania Berlin	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jan 10, 2024	Luckenwalde 1-0 Tasmania Berlin	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 17, 2023	Luckenwalde 1-1 Tasmania Berlin	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 6, 2022	Luckenwalde 2-0 Tasmania Berlin	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 13, 2021	Tasmania Berlin 0-4 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Luckenwalde vs Tasmania Berlin on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tasmania Berlin	2.3	2.5	3	9/15	12/15
Luckenwalde	0.9	1.7	3	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Luckenwalde	6	1	0	5	5	16	3
16	Tasmania Berlin	5	1	0	4	6	18	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs Luckenwalde?: The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs Luckenwalde played?: Tasmania Berlin vs Luckenwalde is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.