FC Santiago vs Ciervos: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, San Antonio
The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Santiago vs Ciervos?
FC Santiago is a heavy favourite: 2,003 Elo points against 1,569, a 434-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Santiago have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Ciervos have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Canamy(away) | 6-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Zitacuaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ciervos(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chilpancingo(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 31, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sporting Canamy(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home) | 0-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 FC Santiago win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ciervos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | FC Santiago 5-0 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Ciervos 1-2 FC Santiago | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Ciervos 0-3 FC Santiago | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Oct 26, 2024 | FC Santiago 2-1 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Jan 27, 2024 | FC Santiago 1-0 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Ciervos 0-1 FC Santiago | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: FC Santiago vs Ciervos on Mar 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Santiago | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Ciervos | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Santiago sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (51 points from 26 matches) and Ciervos sit 13th (18 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 21 | 51 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Santiago vs Ciervos?
- The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Ciervos.
- Where and when is FC Santiago vs Ciervos played?
- FC Santiago vs Ciervos is played on March 13, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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