Match

FC Santiago vs Ciervos: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, San Antonio

FC SantiagoCiervos

The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Santiago vs Ciervos?

FC Santiago is a heavy favourite: 2,003 Elo points against 1,569, a 434-point gap.

FC Santiago win79 %
Draw14 %
Ciervos win7 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Santiago have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Ciervos have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Santiago
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Zacatepec 1948(home)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026Zacatepec 1948(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026Sporting Canamy(away)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026Zitacuaro(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026Ciervos(home)5-0Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Chilpancingo(home)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026FC Santiago(away)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026Zacatepec 1948(home)2-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026Sporting Canamy(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 7, 2026Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)0-2Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 FC Santiago win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ciervos win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026FC Santiago 5-0 CiervosLiga Premier Serie A
Nov 15, 2025Ciervos 1-2 FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie A
Mar 1, 2025Ciervos 0-3 FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie B
Oct 26, 2024FC Santiago 2-1 CiervosLiga Premier Serie B
Jan 27, 2024FC Santiago 1-0 CiervosLiga Premier Serie B
Aug 26, 2023Ciervos 0-1 FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: FC Santiago vs Ciervos on Mar 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Santiago2.00.768/156/15
Ciervos0.91.7210/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Santiago sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (51 points from 26 matches) and Ciervos sit 13th (18 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Santiago261475432151
13Ciervos264418205018

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Santiago vs Ciervos?
The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Ciervos.
Where and when is FC Santiago vs Ciervos played?
FC Santiago vs Ciervos is played on March 13, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Santiago and Ciervos

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