Match

Acatlan vs Cañoneros Marina: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Zapotlanejo

AcatlanCañoneros Marina

The Footlab model makes Acatlan the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Cañoneros Marina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acatlan vs Cañoneros Marina?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Acatlan (1,727) and Cañoneros Marina (1,743).

Acatlan win44 %
Draw24 %
Cañoneros Marina win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acatlan have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Cañoneros Marina have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acatlan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Cimarrones(home)0-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Colima(home)1-3Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Ensenada(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 22, 2026UA Zacatecas(home)4-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026Durango(home)0-3Liga Premier Serie A
Cañoneros Marina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Racing de Veracruz(away)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026Héroes de Zaci(home)5-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026Tapachula(home)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026Neza(home)3-2Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cañoneros Marina score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Acatlan1.72.728/1513/15
Cañoneros Marina1.02.134/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Acatlan sit 13th in Liga Premier Serie A (21 points from 26 matches) and Cañoneros Marina sit 11th (22 points from 24 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Cañoneros Marina247116254922
13Acatlan266119397321

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acatlan vs Cañoneros Marina?
The Footlab model makes Acatlan the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Cañoneros Marina.
Where and when is Acatlan vs Cañoneros Marina played?
Acatlan vs Cañoneros Marina is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Acatlan and Cañoneros Marina

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