Acatlan vs Cañoneros Marina: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Zapotlanejo
The Footlab model makes Acatlan the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Cañoneros Marina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Acatlan vs Cañoneros Marina?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Acatlan (1,727) and Cañoneros Marina (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acatlan have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Cañoneros Marina have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cimarrones(home) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Colima(home) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ensenada(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 22, 2026 | UA Zacatecas(home) | 4-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Durango(home) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Neza(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cañoneros Marina score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acatlan | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Cañoneros Marina | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Acatlan sit 13th in Liga Premier Serie A (21 points from 26 matches) and Cañoneros Marina sit 11th (22 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cañoneros Marina | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 49 | 22 |
| 13 | Acatlan | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39 | 73 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Acatlan vs Cañoneros Marina?
- The Footlab model makes Acatlan the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Cañoneros Marina.
- Where and when is Acatlan vs Cañoneros Marina played?
- Acatlan vs Cañoneros Marina is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027FC SantiagovsCiervos
- Mar 13, 2027Héroes de ZacivsGuerreros del Pacifico
- Mar 13, 2027Correcaminos UAT IIvsCalor de San Pedro
- Mar 13, 2027Mineros de FresnillovsDragones de Oaxaca
- Mar 13, 2027Atlético SaltillovsArtesanos Metepec
- Mar 14, 2027Vaqueros ReynosavsAcambaro
- Mar 14, 2027GuerrerosvsReal Refineros
- Mar 14, 2027Real ApodacavsHalcones Negros