Real Apodaca vs Halcones Negros: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 24Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro
The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Real Apodaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Halcones Negros wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,514 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Apodaca vs Halcones Negros?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Real Apodaca (1,902) and Halcones Negros (1,869).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Apodaca vs Halcones Negros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Apodaca
Not enough data to predict the Real Apodaca lineup.
Halcones Negros
Not enough data to predict the Halcones Negros lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Halcones Negros have 4, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vaqueros Reynosa(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guerreros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Acatlan(away) | 1-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Refineros(away) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ciervos(away) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(home) | 7-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Apodaca score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Halcones Negros score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Apodaca | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Halcones Negros | 2.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 3/7 | 6/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Apodaca sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (4 points from 7 matches) and Halcones Negros sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 14 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Real Apodaca vs Halcones Negros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Halcones Negros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Real Apodaca.
- Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Halcones Negros played?
- Real Apodaca vs Halcones Negros is played on March 14, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027FC SantiagovsCiervos
- Mar 13, 2027Héroes de ZacivsGuerreros del Pacifico
- Mar 13, 2027AcatlanvsCañoneros Marina
- Mar 13, 2027Correcaminos UAT IIvsCalor de San Pedro
- Mar 13, 2027Mineros de FresnillovsDragones de Oaxaca
- Mar 13, 2027Atlético SaltillovsArtesanos Metepec
- Mar 14, 2027Vaqueros ReynosavsAcambaro
- Mar 14, 2027GuerrerosvsReal Refineros