FC Sochi vs Ska-khabarovsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
The Footlab model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Ska-khabarovsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Ska-khabarovsk?
FC Sochi starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,831 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sochi have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ska-khabarovsk have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 2-4 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Veles(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 FC Sochi win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ska-khabarovsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Ska-khabarovsk 0-1 FC Sochi | First League |
| Jul 28, 2024 | FC Sochi 1-2 Ska-khabarovsk | First League |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Ska-khabarovsk 1-1 FC Sochi | Cup |
| Mar 24, 2019 | FC Sochi 2-0 Ska-khabarovsk | First League |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Ska-khabarovsk 2-2 FC Sochi | First League |
Last archived meeting: Ska-khabarovsk vs FC Sochi on Mar 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Sochi score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ska-khabarovsk score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sochi | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ska-khabarovsk | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Sochi sit 3rd in First League (16 points from 8 matches) and Ska-khabarovsk sit 17th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sochi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Sochi vs Ska-khabarovsk?
- The Footlab model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Ska-khabarovsk.
- Where and when is FC Sochi vs Ska-khabarovsk played?
- FC Sochi vs Ska-khabarovsk is played on September 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.