Enisey vs Arsenal Tula: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Central'nyj Stadion, Krasnoyarsk
The Footlab model makes Enisey the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Arsenal Tula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Enisey vs Arsenal Tula?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Enisey (1,842) and Arsenal Tula (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Enisey have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Arsenal Tula have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Veles(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Veles(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Enisey win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Arsenal Tula win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Enisey 1-0 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Arsenal Tula 2-2 Enisey | First League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Enisey 2-0 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Aug 5, 2024 | Arsenal Tula 2-1 Enisey | First League |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Enisey 0-2 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Aug 7, 2023 | Arsenal Tula 2-0 Enisey | First League |
Last archived meeting: Enisey vs Arsenal Tula on May 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Enisey score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Tula score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enisey | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Arsenal Tula | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Enisey sit 11th in First League (9 points from 7 matches) and Arsenal Tula sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Enisey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Enisey vs Arsenal Tula?
- The Footlab model makes Enisey the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Arsenal Tula.
- Where and when is Enisey vs Arsenal Tula played?
- Enisey vs Arsenal Tula is played on September 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Central'nyj Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.