Tekstilshchik vs Rotor Volgograd: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tekstilshchik, Ivanovo
The Footlab model makes Tekstilshchik the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Rotor Volgograd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Rotor Volgograd?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Tekstilshchik (1,800) and Rotor Volgograd (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tekstilshchik have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Rotor Volgograd have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 2-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Tekstilshchik win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Rotor Volgograd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | Rotor Volgograd 0-1 Tekstilshchik | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2022 | Tekstilshchik 1-3 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Jul 10, 2021 | Rotor Volgograd 0-0 Tekstilshchik | First League |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Tekstilshchik 0-1 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Jul 13, 2019 | Rotor Volgograd 3-2 Tekstilshchik | First League |
Last archived meeting: Rotor Volgograd vs Tekstilshchik on Jan 31, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Tekstilshchik score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rotor Volgograd score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tekstilshchik | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Rotor Volgograd | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tekstilshchik sit 14th in First League (6 points from 8 matches) and Rotor Volgograd sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | Tekstilshchik | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tekstilshchik vs Rotor Volgograd?
- The Footlab model makes Tekstilshchik the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Rotor Volgograd.
- Where and when is Tekstilshchik vs Rotor Volgograd played?
- Tekstilshchik vs Rotor Volgograd is played on September 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tekstilshchik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.