Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Central'nyj, Chelyabinsk
The Footlab model makes Chelyabinsk the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for FC UFA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Chelyabinsk (1,775) and FC UFA (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelyabinsk have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; FC UFA have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-4 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chelyabinsk win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC UFA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | Chelyabinsk 2-1 FC UFA | First League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | FC UFA 0-0 Chelyabinsk | First League |
| May 19, 2024 | Chelyabinsk 0-0 FC UFA | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Apr 7, 2024 | FC UFA 2-0 Chelyabinsk | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
Last archived meeting: Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA on Nov 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chelyabinsk score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelyabinsk | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FC UFA | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelyabinsk sit 12th in First League (7 points from 7 matches) and FC UFA sit 7th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC UFA | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA?
- The Footlab model makes Chelyabinsk the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for FC UFA.
- Where and when is Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA played?
- Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA is played on September 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Central'nyj, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.