FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa League2nd Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)kybunpark, St. Gallen
Full time
What was the result of FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica?
FC ST. Gallen won 2-1 on July 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 37′A. BaldeFC ST. Gallen
- 44′RafaBenfica
- 80′T. GaalFC ST. Gallen
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Benfica win at 52%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 2-1.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC ST. Gallen have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Benfica have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | FC Winterthur(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 27, 2026 | SCR Altach(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away) | 3-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 2, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
FC ST. Gallen score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 2.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC ST. Gallen | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Benfica | 2.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy