HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos: result 2-0 and analysis
UEFA Europa League2nd Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Poljud, Split
Full time
What was the result of HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos?
HNK Hajduk Split won 2-0 on July 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 56′M. ŠegoHNK Hajduk Split
- 64′D. MelnjakHNK Hajduk Split
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a HNK Hajduk Split win at 43%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1- 11M. Šego
- 17D. Melnjak
- 9Dali
- 28R. Brajković
- 4A. Pajaziti
- 21R. Pukštas
- 32Š. Hrgović
- 5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
- 15D. Marešić
- 22M. Acapandié
- 33T. Silić
Pafos
3-4-3- 20Biel
- 18Lelê
- 30V. Dragomir
- 14N. Ioannou
- 26I. Šunjić
- 88Pêpê Rodrigues
- 11Jajá
- 3S. Mmaee
- 4David Luiz
- 5David Goldar
- 99R. Majecki
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Hajduk Split have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Pafos have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Žilina(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Žilina(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Celje(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 27, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| May 22, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
HNK Hajduk Split score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pafos score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Pafos | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy