1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for 1. FC Nürnberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate 1. FC Heidenheim (1,968) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Heidenheim have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 2-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hertha BSC(away) | 1-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 4-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 4-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1. FC Heidenheim win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 1. FC Nürnberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2023 | 1. FC Nürnberg 3-1 1. FC Heidenheim | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1. FC Heidenheim 5-0 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 12, 2022 | 1. FC Nürnberg 0-3 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1. FC Heidenheim 3-1 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1. FC Nürnberg 4-0 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1. FC Nürnberg 3-1 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Heidenheim on Sep 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for 1. FC Nürnberg.
- Where and when is 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?
- 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Voith-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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