Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs FC St. Pauli played?

Dynamo Dresden vs FC St. Pauli is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dynamo Dresden vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden

Dynamo Dresden

FC St. Pauli

The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs FC St. Pauli?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (2,024) and FC St. Pauli (1,960).

Dynamo Dresden win52 %

Draw24 %

FC St. Pauli win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dynamo Dresden
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Westfalia Rhynern(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(home)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(away)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Union Berlin(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC St. Pauli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 12, 2022	Dynamo Dresden 1-1 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2021	Dynamo Dresden 2-3 FC St. Pauli	DFB Pokal
Oct 3, 2021	FC St. Pauli 3-0 Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga
Feb 14, 2020	FC St. Pauli 0-0 Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga
Aug 31, 2019	Dynamo Dresden 3-3 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
May 3, 2019	Dynamo Dresden 2-1 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs FC St. Pauli on Mar 12, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dynamo Dresden	2.8	0.9	8	5/15	10/15
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Dynamo Dresden	2	1	0	1	1	3	3
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs FC St. Pauli?: The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs FC St. Pauli played?: Dynamo Dresden vs FC St. Pauli is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.