Match

FC St. Pauli vs SV Darmstadt 98: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaMatchday 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. PauliSV Darmstadt 98

The Footlab AI model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for SV Darmstadt 98. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC St. Pauli wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs SV Darmstadt 98?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,989) and SV Darmstadt 98 (2,021).

41%26%33%
FC St. Pauli winDrawSV Darmstadt 98 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC St. Pauli vs SV Darmstadt 98

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC St. Pauli

3-4-1-2
  1. 9Abdoulie Ceesay
  2. 10B. Hrgota
  1. 20M. Rasmussen
  2. 11A. Pyrka
  3. 23L. Oppie
  4. 16J. Fujita
  5. 24C. Metcalfe
  1. 4D. Nemeth
  2. 8E. Smith
  3. 21L. Ritzka
  1. 1B. Voll

SV Darmstadt 98

4-4-2
  1. 36M. Smit
  2. 9Lee Ho-Jae
  1. 17K. Klefisch
  2. 5M. Richter
  3. 7N. Weißhaupt
  4. 16H. Akiyama
  1. 18R. Petretta
  2. 25W. Mikelbrencis
  3. 49Y. Lührs
  4. 6P. Pfeiffer
  1. 1M. Schuhen

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:10 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; SV Darmstadt 98 have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 20261. FC Magdeburg(away)1-42. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)1-32. Bundesliga
Oct 23, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)2-02. Bundesliga
SV Darmstadt 98
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)0-22. Bundesliga
Oct 31, 20261. FC Magdeburg(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026SV Elversberg(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Oct 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)0-42. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC St. Pauli wins, 2 draws, 2 SV Darmstadt 98 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026SV Darmstadt 98 0-0 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
May 6, 2023SV Darmstadt 98 0-3 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Oct 29, 2022FC St. Pauli 1-1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
Apr 23, 2022FC St. Pauli 1-2 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
Nov 20, 2021SV Darmstadt 98 4-0 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Feb 20, 2021FC St. Pauli 3-2 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli on Oct 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SV Darmstadt 98 score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli1.11.7311/157/15
SV Darmstadt 981.31.546/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (12 points from 11 matches) and SV Darmstadt 98 sit 17th (9 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9FC St. Pauli11263131612
17SV Darmstadt 98112369219

A question about FC St. Pauli vs SV Darmstadt 98?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs SV Darmstadt 98?
The Footlab AI model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for SV Darmstadt 98.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs SV Darmstadt 98 played?
FC St. Pauli vs SV Darmstadt 98 is played on March 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC St. Pauli and SV Darmstadt 98