Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Osnabrück played?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Osnabrück is played on March 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Osnabrück: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

VfL Osnabrück

The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Osnabrück?

VfL Osnabrück starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (2,008 vs 1,877).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win32 %

Draw26 %

VfL Osnabrück win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; VfL Osnabrück have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

VfL Osnabrück
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Spelle-Venhaus(away)	5-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Magdeburg(home)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	3-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Nordhorn(away)	7-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 VfL Osnabrück win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 7, 2024	VfL Osnabrück 2-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2023	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-0 VfL Osnabrück	2. Bundesliga
Jan 26, 2021	VfL Osnabrück 0-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2020	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 VfL Osnabrück	2. Bundesliga
May 26, 2020	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-2 VfL Osnabrück	2. Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2019	VfL Osnabrück 0-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Apr 7, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15
VfL Osnabrück	2.2	1.6	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and VfL Osnabrück sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
18	VfL Osnabrück	2	0	0	2	3	7	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Osnabrück?: The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Osnabrück played?: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Osnabrück is played on March 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.