Match

Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden

Dynamo DresdenHolstein Kiel

The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dynamo Dresden wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (1,993) and Holstein Kiel (1,969).

48%26%26%
Dynamo Dresden winDrawHolstein Kiel win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Dynamo Dresden

4-2-3-1
  1. 9V. Vermeij
  1. 18R. Wagner
  2. 20B. Bobzien
  3. 27N. Hauptmann
  4. 24P. Čović
  5. 21T. Raschl
  1. 6N. Rapp
  2. 32J. Sterner
  3. 44S. Straudi
  4. 42F. Muller
  1. 22L. Grill

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
  1. 19P. Harres
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 20A. Kaprálik
  3. 8G. Balzi
  4. 10J. Therkelsen
  5. 27I. Ugoh
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 13I. Nekić
  3. 5N. Madsen
  4. 47J. Tolkin
  1. 1T. Weiner

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026Teplice(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Hertha BSC(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026VfL Bochum(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Viborg(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)2-22. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dynamo Dresden win, 1 draw, 4 Holstein Kiel wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Dynamo Dresden 2-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025Holstein Kiel 2-1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Apr 16, 2022Dynamo Dresden 0-0 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2021Holstein Kiel 2-1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Jun 18, 2020Holstein Kiel 2-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2019Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dynamo Dresden score 2.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dynamo Dresden2.91.458/1512/15
Holstein Kiel1.51.7110/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dynamo Dresden sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (5 points from 7 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 18th (4 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Dynamo Dresden71249155
18Holstein Kiel70437114

A question about Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel played?
Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel is played on March 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel

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