Where and when is SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli played?

SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt

SV Darmstadt 98

FC St. Pauli

The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate SV Darmstadt 98 (2,004) and FC St. Pauli (1,960).

SV Darmstadt 98 win50 %

Draw25 %

FC St. Pauli win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Darmstadt 98 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Darmstadt 98
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	0-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Portsmouth(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	7-2	Friendlies Clubs

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SV Darmstadt 98 win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC St. Pauli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 6, 2023	SV Darmstadt 98 0-3 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Oct 29, 2022	FC St. Pauli 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98	2. Bundesliga
Apr 23, 2022	FC St. Pauli 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98	2. Bundesliga
Nov 20, 2021	SV Darmstadt 98 4-0 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Feb 20, 2021	FC St. Pauli 3-2 SV Darmstadt 98	2. Bundesliga
Oct 24, 2020	SV Darmstadt 98 2-2 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli on May 6, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

SV Darmstadt 98 score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SV Darmstadt 98	2.1	1.7	1	11/15	10/15
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Darmstadt 98 sit 15th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
15	SV Darmstadt 98	2	0	1	1	2	3	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?: The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli played?: SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.