Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC played?

Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC is played on March 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

Hertha BSC

The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Hertha BSC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,019) and Hertha BSC (2,044).

Arminia Bielefeld win44 %

Draw24 %

Hertha BSC win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Hertha BSC have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	2-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

Hertha BSC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	4-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026	VfL Bochum(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	1. FC Köln(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Mamelodi Sundowns(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hertha BSC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld 6-1 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
Dec 19, 2025	Hertha BSC 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Apr 30, 2022	Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Hertha BSC	Bundesliga
Dec 11, 2021	Hertha BSC 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga
May 9, 2021	Hertha BSC 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga
Jan 10, 2021	Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 Hertha BSC	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arminia Bielefeld	2.6	1.4	3	11/15	11/15
Hertha BSC	2.8	1.3	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Hertha BSC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?: The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Hertha BSC.
Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC played?: Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC is played on March 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.