FC Viktoria Köln vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Höhenberg, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for FC Viktoria Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Viktoria Köln vs Fortuna Köln?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (2,039 vs 1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Viktoria Köln have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stuttgart II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Viktoria Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Viktoria Köln | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Viktoria Köln sit 10th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Viktoria Köln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Viktoria Köln vs Fortuna Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for FC Viktoria Köln.
- Where and when is FC Viktoria Köln vs Fortuna Köln played?
- FC Viktoria Köln vs Fortuna Köln is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Höhenberg, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04vsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Nov 28, 2026Würzburger KickersvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Nov 28, 2026Preußen MünstervsVerl
- Nov 28, 2026SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsMSV Duisburg
- Nov 28, 2026SV WehenvsSV Meppen
- Nov 28, 2026Hansa RostockvsHavelse
- Nov 28, 2026Rot-Weiß EssenvsHoffenheim II
- Nov 28, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsAlemannia Aachen