Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab AI model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Fortuna Köln. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hansa Rostock wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln (2,018) and Hansa Rostock (1,994).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortuna Köln
4-3-1-2- 30Romeo Aigbekaen
- 7N. Thier
- 20A. Stanilewicz
- 38Bennit Bröger
- 11G. Strauch
- 6T. Geerkens
- 3M. Fischer
- 5Seymour Funger
- 31Neo Telle
- 17F. Heister
- 1L. Winkler
Hansa Rostock
4-2-3-1- 9A. Voglsammer
- 43L. Dajaku
- 4K. Fatkić
- 5M. Schuster
- 27D. Kopacz
- 42B. Dietze
- 17F. Carstens
- 32N. Kölle
- 15A. Gürleyen
- 8Ouassim Karada
- 1L. Unbehaun
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hansa Rostock have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 0-0 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Havelse(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | SV Wehen(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 0-4 | 3. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortuna Köln wins, 3 draws, 3 Hansa Rostock wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2019 | Fortuna Köln 1-1 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Hansa Rostock 3-1 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Fortuna Köln 0-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Hansa Rostock 5-3 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Mar 15, 2017 | Hansa Rostock 1-1 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Fortuna Köln 0-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock on Apr 7, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hansa Rostock score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hansa Rostock | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 15th in 3. Liga (10 points from 9 matches) and Hansa Rostock sit 4th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 15 | Fortuna Köln | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Fortuna Köln.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock played?
- Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsSV Wehen
- Dec 5, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsPreußen Münster
- Dec 5, 2026MSV DuisburgvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Dec 5, 2026Würzburger KickersvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Dec 5, 2026SV MeppenvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Dec 5, 2026Alemannia AachenvsHavelse
- Dec 5, 2026VerlvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Dec 5, 2026Hoffenheim IIvsFC Saarbrücken