Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Hansa Rostock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln (2,039) and Hansa Rostock (1,985).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Hansa Rostock have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortuna Köln win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Hansa Rostock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2019 | Fortuna Köln 1-1 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Hansa Rostock 3-1 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Fortuna Köln 0-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Hansa Rostock 5-3 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Mar 15, 2017 | Hansa Rostock 1-1 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Fortuna Köln 0-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock on Apr 7, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hansa Rostock | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Hansa Rostock sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Hansa Rostock.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock played?
- Fortuna Köln vs Hansa Rostock is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 5, 2026MSV DuisburgvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Dec 5, 2026Würzburger KickersvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Dec 5, 2026SV MeppenvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Dec 5, 2026Alemannia AachenvsHavelse
- Dec 5, 2026VerlvsFC Ingolstadt 04
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