Preußen Münster vs Verl: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Preußen-Stadion, Münster
The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preußen Münster vs Verl?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Preußen Münster (1,881) and Verl (1,971).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preußen Münster have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Verl have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 0-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Preußen Münster win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Verl win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2025 | Preußen Münster 1-0 Verl | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 12, 2024 | Verl 2-0 Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Preußen Münster 3-1 Verl | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Preußen Münster vs Verl on Jul 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Verl | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preußen Münster sit 5th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Verl sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Preußen Münster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preußen Münster vs Verl?
- The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Preußen Münster.
- Where and when is Preußen Münster vs Verl played?
- Preußen Münster vs Verl is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Preußen-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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