SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for MSV Duisburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs MSV Duisburg?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (2,055) and MSV Duisburg (2,032).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Meppen(away) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 2-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 MSV Duisburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Jul 20, 2019 | MSV Duisburg 4-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| Apr 8, 2017 | MSV Duisburg 2-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| Oct 29, 2016 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0-0 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Dec 13, 2014 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2014 | MSV Duisburg 1-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs MSV Duisburg on Dec 21, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs MSV Duisburg?
- The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for MSV Duisburg.
- Where and when is SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs MSV Duisburg played?
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs MSV Duisburg is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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