FC Volendam vs Heracles: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Kras Stadion, Volendam
The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Heracles. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Volendam vs Heracles?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate FC Volendam (1,820) and Heracles (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Volendam have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Heracles have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 4-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Volendam win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Heracles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Heracles 0-2 FC Volendam | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2025 | FC Volendam 3-0 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Heracles 1-1 FC Volendam | Eredivisie |
| Sep 23, 2023 | FC Volendam 2-2 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Heracles 1-3 FC Volendam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 16, 2021 | FC Volendam 2-1 Heracles | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Heracles vs FC Volendam on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Volendam score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Heracles score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Heracles | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Volendam sit 12th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Heracles sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 1 | Heracles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Volendam vs Heracles?
- The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Heracles.
- Where and when is FC Volendam vs Heracles played?
- FC Volendam vs Heracles is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Kras Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.