Emmen vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
The Footlab model makes Vitesse the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Emmen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Emmen vs Vitesse?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Emmen (1,683) and Vitesse (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emmen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Vitesse have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 6-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Roda(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Twente(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Al-Jazira(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Emmen win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Vitesse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Vitesse 3-3 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Emmen 2-4 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Vitesse 2-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Emmen 3-3 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Emmen 2-2 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Vitesse 2-1 Emmen | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emmen sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (9 points from 3 matches) and Vitesse sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 1 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Emmen vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab model makes Vitesse the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Emmen.
- Where and when is Emmen vs Vitesse played?
- Emmen vs Vitesse is played on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at De Oude Meerdijk, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.