Emmen vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
The Footlab AI model makes Emmen the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Vitesse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Emmen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Emmen vs Vitesse?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Emmen (1,678) and Vitesse (1,714).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Emmen vs Vitesse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Emmen
4-2-3-1- 9J. Cooper
- 22M. Breij
- 40S. Veldhuis
- 7T. Rhein
- 6C. Staring
- 12F. Quispel
- 17B. Van Hove
- 3Y. Dede-Lhomme
- 24L. Everink
- 25R. Kongolo
- 1S. Karssies
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 33M. Marschalk
- 16P. Dahbo
- 17V. Zumberi
- 55M. Steffen
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 24N. Markelo
- 1C. van den Berg
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emmen have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Vitesse have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Emmen wins, 3 draws, 3 Vitesse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Vitesse 3-3 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Emmen 2-4 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Vitesse 2-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Emmen 3-3 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Emmen 2-2 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Vitesse 2-1 Emmen | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emmen sit 4th in Eerste Divisie (19 points from 10 matches) and Vitesse sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Emmen vs Vitesse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Emmen vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Emmen the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Vitesse.
- Where and when is Emmen vs Vitesse played?
- Emmen vs Vitesse is played on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at De Oude Meerdijk, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.